foolish games
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Thread: foolish games

  1. #1
    for the role of proving/disproving/improving a specific ea.... This is operating in a little but dwell account.... These are modest but real trades.... forward testing .... Shortly to be on possibly seven pairs, nine shirts....

    Should notice, currently as of 9/7/09, both the audusd and nzdusd appear triggered ancient.... Both those charts are posted first....

    ...h


  2. #2
    forward testing...h

    note, some aspects of this ea can be seen in backtesting on account of the truth that those conditions rarely exist.... Those photos, if any, will have the expression backtesting clearly across the picture...h


  3. #3
    that the ea is controllable in the space.... Like if the ea is running on your house pc in atlanta georgia and your vaioning in peace river alberta, fine idea, if you can log into metatrader in peace river you can control most all the typical functions on the ea running in atlanta.... And not using remote desktop.... Only metatrader itself....

    You'll be able to adjust profit goals, stoploss, trailing stops, pairs or even hours to trade and the like.... Or closed down all trading....

    //-----
    //-----

    that the ea employs several ways of handling the hopefull profit.... Of course one is the regular monitoring stop....

    But if dealing with countless orders on perhaps 7 different pairs items can get hosed up quick....

    So you have the capability to bulge all eurusd orders into a group, handling the total.... Or lump all the usd crosses collectively, reason should be obvious.... Now as the optimistic profit rises you can track the group.... So if the total profit falls to a set %, it can close all those trades....

    A backtested illuion is shown below here....

    This might of course force you into some loosers as intentionaly shown.... The profit dropped below a certain precentage along with the ea closed all....

    //--

    you may also notice some orders are deleted as time goes on.... If another sign comes across the ea will delete all of unfilled and adjust the orders to the new states.... If you so desire....

    The ea can place many orders at one time or place them on an as required basis.... The as needed basis is by far better.... Only stay a couple before current market....

    Dismiss the graphics...h

  4. #4
    when ibfx again allowed hedging last december, retesting that this ea instantly came to mind.... So I cranked it up again at the first of the year, slightly rewitten to adapt hedging....

    This isn't supposed to promote, debunk or debate hedging....

    //------

    in case your trading renko blocks, in a very real sense you are grid trading....

    Basic grids have some inherent flaws, at least in my own mind.... First is the ineffective shotgun manner where stop and limit orders are put.... Second is the inability to tenant trades inbetween closed trades.... Third are those dreaded closing trades positioned at the bottoms and tops.... Fourth is that the nearly nonexistant spread security, limit and stop orders are sitting ducks....


    If we rewrite the ea to put trades on demand, as required, we shall not the limitations and stops.... Or at the most one stop and limit order one step from the highest and lowest open commerce up to now.... This is far more efficient due to no trade placed till one is required, along with giving us the flexibility to tenant and disperse protection....

    January is now a good deal, inclosed will be the results.... This is a real account forward testing.... smallest lots used...h


  5. #5
    when we're selling the daily downtrend there will always be the little counter moves.... A few 15 minutes, some 30, some more.... If we ignore the smaller movements and only hedge the bigger ones there is a greater likelyhood of numerous hedged orders hitting their goal before the counter movement ends...

    only guaging the average range of the period may give you a good notion of if the countertrend is worthwhile.... In the event the 4hour typical range is 60 pips, that's playable.... If the 15 second average range is 10 pips, it is almost impossible....

    The reason being the previous order will almost always be a looser.... That loss is coated, -distribute, by it is companion market but it is a loss nonetheless.... So you actually require the potiential of 4 or 3 minimal winning hedged orders to make them sensible.... This usually means you need roughly a minimal 60 pip counter proceed.... You can prevent that looser by being fair with your numbers....

    It will decrease your win precentage slightly.... You can see in the prior post statement there has been a streak of 381 wins in a row using typical being 45.... Maximum successive losses was 4....

    Average true range needs to be watched carefully.... From the picture with all the orders below, the green'buys' would be the countertrend hedge orders against the daily trend.... Their numbers are limited by the atr...h


  6. #6
    there is a scene from a popular western that's virtually daily in my head....

    A trailboss diving a herd north had a couple more cowhands.... So he sends a hand into town to see if anyone was curious.... Some of the regional toughs ride out to join up.... After the trailboss told them that he had been paying a buck per day, among'em stated that ain't enough and openly put his hand on his gun....
    The trailboss calmly stated,'do not let your mouth overload your own hardware, cowboy'....

    //--
    and therein lies my conumdrum.... At what stage have I allowed my trading overload my account.... How many pairs do we really need to trade.... What size lot is correct.... When is enough enough....

    Something for certain, trading the smallest lot size, 0.01 in an ibfx mini account shouldn't be overly poor jelqing.... But maybe attempting to exchange a dozen pairs might be a small overkill.... Perhaps a buck a day ain't so bad...h


  7. #7
    kinda got whacked around this week....

    First was on the wrong side of this jpy pairs proceed, that is life....

    Second and more serious, some yet unkown error twice caused 20 identical trades at 1 time in a few pips.... There is a limitation of 31 trades per pair, once hit no more trades were put.... It should have obtained a 1200 pip move before all 31 orders were put.... This left equally pairs effectively dead in the water....

    There nevertheless is a -100 open, largely due to people'error' orders.... That mistake must be found along with employing added safeguards...

    statement is from 1/1/2010.... Real trades in an ibfx miniature... 0.01 lots have been used but a few pairs will proceed to 0.02 next week that 2k was passed...h


  8. #8
    there is nothing like experience to see inexperience.... As mentioned previously, excel is not my forte.... That must have been painfully obvious to those experienced with it....


    Initially I was exporting thousands of trades to both excel and then clumsily doing the work in excel to create the graphs and such.... Discuss shooting myself in the foot....

    That the ea already does practically every conciveable sort of calculation for me to begin with.... So much because fact it has to be divided up into 12 pages of different images.... So all is required is to export the last talleys, for example page 6 and page 7, and then let glow make the charts...h



  9. #9
    This is an example of the mq4 filewrite...h

    Inserted Code int begin () //-- if(ExportToExcel ! ) Written) WriteReport(Febuary); Written = true; //----- // rest of ea //-- return(0); // ----------- void WriteReport(string report) FILE_READ,','); FileSeek(handle,0,SEEK_END); //-- FileWrite(handle,Profit); FileWrite(handle,EURUSDm,TotalProfitforMonth(EURUS Dm)); FileWrite(handle,USDJPYm,TotalProfitforMonth(USDJP Ym)); FileWrite(handle,GBPUSDm,TotalProfitforMonth(GBPUS Dm)); FileWrite(handle,USDCHFm,TotalProfitforMonth(USDCH Fm)); FileWrite(handle,EURCHFm,TotalProfitforMonth(EURCH Fm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDUSDm,TotalProfitforMonth(AUDUS Dm)); FileWrite(handle,USDCADm,TotalProfitforMonth(USDCA Dm)); FileWrite(handle,NZDUSDm,TotalProfitforMonth(NZDUS Dm)); FileWrite(handle,EURGBPm,TotalProfitforMonth(EURGB Pm)); FileWrite(handle,EURJPYm,TotalProfitforMonth(EURJP Ym)); FileWrite(handle,GBPJPYm,TotalProfitforMonth(GBPJP Ym)); FileWrite(handle,CHFJPYm,TotalProfitforMonth(CHFJP Ym)); FileWrite(handle,GBPCHFm,TotalProfitforMonth(GBPCH Fm)); FileWrite(handle,EURAUDm,TotalProfitforMonth(EURAU Dm)); FileWrite(handle,EURCADm,TotalProfitforMonth(EURCA Dm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDCADm,TotalProfitforMonth(AUDCA Dm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDJPYm,TotalProfitforMonth(AUDJP Ym)); FileWrite(handle,NZDJPYm,TotalProfitforMonth(NZDJP Ym)); FileWrite(handle,AUDNZDm,TotalProfitforMonth(AUDNZ Dm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDCHFm,TotalProfitforMonth(AUDCH Fm)); FileWrite(handle,Orders); FileWrite(handle,EURUSDm,TotalClosed(EURUSDm)); FileWrite(handle,USDJPYm,TotalClosed(USDJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,GBPUSDm,TotalClosed(GBPUSDm)); FileWrite(handle,USDCHFm,TotalClosed(USDCHFm)); FileWrite(handle,EURCHFm,TotalClosed(EURCHFm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDUSDm,TotalClosed(AUDUSDm)); FileWrite(handle,USDCADm,TotalClosed(USDCADm)); FileWrite(handle,NZDUSDm,TotalClosed(NZDUSDm)); FileWrite(handle,EURGBPm,TotalClosed(EURGBPm)); FileWrite(handle,EURJPYm,TotalClosed(EURJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,GBPJPYm,TotalClosed(GBPJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,CHFJPYm,TotalClosed(CHFJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,GBPCHFm,TotalClosed(GBPCHFm)); FileWrite(handle,EURAUDm,TotalClosed(EURAUDm)); FileWrite(handle,EURCADm,TotalClosed(EURCADm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDCADm,TotalClosed(AUDCADm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDJPYm,TotalClosed(AUDJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,NZDJPYm,TotalClosed(NZDJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDNZDm,TotalClosed(AUDNZDm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDCHFm,TotalClosed(AUDCHFm)); //RiskPerPair FileWrite(handle,Orders); FileWrite(handle,EURUSDm,RiskPerPair(EURUSDm)); FileWrite(handle,USDJPYm,RiskPerPair(USDJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,GBPUSDm,RiskPerPair(GBPUSDm)); FileWrite(handle,USDCHFm,RiskPerPair(USDCHFm)); FileWrite(handle,EURCHFm,RiskPerPair(EURCHFm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDUSDm,RiskPerPair(AUDUSDm)); FileWrite(handle,USDCADm,RiskPerPair(USDCADm)); FileWrite(handle,NZDUSDm,RiskPerPair(NZDUSDm)); FileWrite(handle,EURGBPm,RiskPerPair(EURGBPm)); FileWrite(handle,EURJPYm,RiskPerPair(EURJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,GBPJPYm,RiskPerPair(GBPJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,CHFJPYm,RiskPerPair(CHFJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,GBPCHFm,RiskPerPair(GBPCHFm)); FileWrite(handle,EURAUDm,RiskPerPair(EURAUDm)); FileWrite(handle,EURCADm,RiskPerPair(EURCADm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDCADm,RiskPerPair(AUDCADm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDJPYm,RiskPerPair(AUDJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,NZDJPYm,RiskPerPair(NZDJPYm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDNZDm,RiskPerPair(AUDNZDm)); FileWrite(handle,AUDCHFm,RiskPerPair(AUDCHFm)); FileFlush(handle); //-- FileClose(handle); // -----------------------------------

  10. #10

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