Trend analysis and EUR USD JPY AUD trade setups
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Thread: Trend analysis and EUR USD JPY AUD trade setups

  1. #1
    My take on trends of several majors exotics, plus possible trades to choose; please join in for additional good RR trades you think might develop/developing.

  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    I guys, I found this thread and thought it was a very interesting thread regarding trends, as that's the only time I exchange is during the trends. I think everyone kind of has thier own way of determinng a trend, with such and trend lines, and I too use them as we all know markets are not perfect so tendency lines can sometimes be way off. This is the way I find a trend, I use 3 simple moving average lines, a 30, 50, and 100. And I look for them to be parallel to each other, in order, all pointing in the same direction with no cross overs. I call...
    I forgot to upload the chart. . .so here's a sample of how I have my charts setup...

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    EURUSD

    The pair pulled , and for risk lovers, provides an entry point for the new longs. RR is slightly more than 1, targetting above 1.5050 for ca$h point.

    It seems like when we get quotes about 1.4850s, there could be opportunity with RRgt;1 to money above 1.50, which would likely cover fine.

    Trend is long.
    EURUSD succeeded to move above 1.50 at last.

    Ca$hed

  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    USDCHF

    The pair spiked higher, and it could Cover well to Input the extra short/shorts from here, around 1.0150-60s, targeting 1.0050s and under; RRgt;1
    Ca$hed

  5. #5
    Updates:

    EURUSD Strong uptrend

    Continues the uptrend.


    GBPUSD Moderate strength uptrend

    along with the swings, continues its uptrend. Turned somewhat weaker with the sell from GBP, but the trend intact.

    USDJPY Strong bear tendency

    Strong bear trend is forcing the pair to all time historical lows.

  6. #6
    Update

    Massive moves in JPY pairs is supplying substantial profits. Since the USDJPY broke by its historic lows, JPY is currently gaining.

    Below (attached) is a snapshot of the shift of the portfolio equilibrium in a week.


    EURUSD

    Still in powerful uptrend, Regardless of the drop now. Only below 1.4920s will turn the pair into moderate uptrend strength, causing some profit taking. Along with a transfer below 1.4830s might see the pair move sideways.


    USDJPY

    One (literally two) term: Powerful downtrend

    GBPUSD

    With current power of JPY, GBP was one of those hardest hit, even the most hard hit, currency. GBPUSD has now turned into moderate strength downtrend and only a move above 1.6750s will turn the pair bullish again.

    The divergence of EURUSD and GBPUSD likewise be used by traing EURGBP into the upside.

    Happy thanksgiving

  7. #7
    March - November Rally is Over?

    Stock markets, Eur, respectively bounced off the sell-offs they faced since late 2007 during March of 2009.

    And for the first time in nearly 7 months, last week's sell-off in JPY crosses are indiing a change in markets. Usually JPY moves are currently leading indiors, and it would be great to cash and on USD positions, at least for sometime to determine if this sell-off follows in stock markets. Evaluation of the lows of the year will likely be targeted, if it indeed does.

  8. #8
    Found a great http://www.macro.com/index.php?/blog...ally-around-5/, outlining the potential end of this March-November rally, as we discussed @forexsoutheast.asiafew weeks back:

    The dollar index, USDX, had been at a relentless downtrend since mid-March, without any important retracements. USDX is now on the verge of breaking up from its 50 day MA, which is often seen as medium term sign:



    What are the goal? The goal could very well be its 200 day MA, which is often regarded as the long term sign, used mostly by institutional trading medium:



    This would mean a gain of around 5% for the USD. That would, for example, EUR/USD at the evaluation of 1.44.

  9. #9
    Update on USDX and EurUsd Potential target

  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    How do you see a fad and a shift in trend? For EU its quite clear that the trend is up but in march its an uptrend and our early do not know that. What time period do u use?
    Can you take CT trade too for the excess place?
    I men, I discovered this thread and thought it was a really interesting thread concerning trends, as that's the only time I exchange is through the trends. I think everyone kind of has thier own means of determinng a trend, with trend lines and such, and I too use them as most of us know markets aren't perfect so tendency lines can sometimes be way off. Here is the way I find a fad, I use 3 simple moving average lines, a 30, 50, and 100. And I look for them to be parallel to each other, in order, all pointing in precisely the same direction free of cross overs. I call people the dynamic trend lines, as they will move marginally using the market (unlike a straight trendline) and I look for the retracement entry points around the 30 to 50 SMA I submitted a chart so you can see what I am tlaking about I feel if the trend begins playing with the 100 there's a fantastic possibility the tendency may be losing steam. The indior in the upper left of the chart shows which time period is an uptrend and crimson is a down trend.
    So I only wished to share in brief how I trade the trends, this method has worked for me for the last 4 decades or so since I started using it. If anybody needs any more info on it let me know be happy to share.

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