Previous: 90K
Estimate: 125K
ADP: 158K

Which are the possible results and outcome?

NFP will come out better than 125K and USD rallies.

NFP will come out between 90K and 125K; based on historical charts, some eople trying to win against the spike will brief the USD (since they believe thought the amount is below estimate), while cooler heads will buy USD (since they believe the amount is above previous). Whipsaw will occur.

But last July, ADP conditioned traders for a huge NFP amount and when NFP came out lower than the ADP estimate but greater than previous, USD was shorted. Will we see something similar to that come?

Imagine if the previous 90K was revised upward? Will that be a cause to BUY USD? Based on last 2 NFP revision mastered the day.

Imagine if there's a revision downward?

The market is gearing for a solid number but FED cautioned us to anticipate 100K jobs for the next few more months to come.

Is your market really conditioned for a strong or weak NFP? Depending on the price, its neutral - we are back to before ADP was released.

We must plan our NFP trade day as early as you can. I am looking for the following situations:
1. Upward Revision, NFP gt;125K = BUY USD
2. Upward Revision, NFP lt; 125K, NFPgt;90K = Buy USD
3. Upward Revision, NFP lt; 90K = Whipsaw
4. No Revision, NFP gt; 125K = BUY USD
5. No Revision, NFP gt; 100K, NFP lt; 125K = Whipsaw, Buy USD
6. No Revision, NFP lt; 100K = Brief USD
7. Downward Revision, NFP gt; 125K = Neutral
8. Downward Revision, NFP gt; 100K = Brief USD
9. Downward Revision, NFP lt; 90K = SHORT USD

I personally like to see #1 and 9 come out this friday.

Watch for Revision. Remember, Revision has x2 impact to the current number. A 50K revision is about 100K added into the current number. A -50K could be into the current number.