Do YOU think EAs work (POLL) - Page 4
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Thread: Do YOU think EAs work (POLL)

  1. #31
    95036
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    The markets don't change over time, this is still another myth!

    Markets go up, down or sideway, that is all they do, day after day, year after year.

    And that is exactly what they will ALWAYS do.
    Volatily changes and has an impact on automated egies.

  2. #32
    95036
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    This is one I've written and have been operating since last June.
    Where did it go?

  3. #33
    95036
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Recently, however, traders have been hunting in vain for that sort of volatile breakout market. Forex is a market where the trader can exploit volatility. Volatility in the major currency pairs has fallen over 50% in the last three years.
    Really ? Is that so ? Let's see....

    Here are the yearly ranges for your GBP/USD for the last ten years:

    1997: 1474 pips
    1998: 1265 pips
    1999: 1315 pips
    2000: 2623 pips
    2001: 1417 pips
    2002: 2090 pips
    2003: 2484 pips
    2004: 2068 pips
    2005: 2277 pips
    2006: 2644 pips

    From 1997 to 2001 (five years) the average yearly range was 1618 pips although from 2002 to 2006 (five years) it had been 2312 pips or nearly 43% MORE volatility, and thus do you watch ANY reduction in volatility , because I'm sure as hell do not!!

  4. #34
    95036
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Volatily changes and has a direct impact on automated egies.
    Absolutely. My point entirely. And that's why a EA which written or is updated for a market type can be profitable. But right now. .in a market where the price moves inside a support-resistance tunnel, it can be feasible for the trader to profit by overpowering one major losing trade with various tiny ones. The new math says that by investing in a range, 90 percent of those trades can be winners offsetting losing trades, which a 200-pip reduction can be offset by an assortment of 30-pip wins, taken by reaping tops and bottoms as the price drops inside its price tunnel.

    It's great for an EA. Especially for one that has imperceptible SL and TP in a ranging market like now. It ain't trending. That's changed IMO. And volatility has. But call it what you like FXTerminator. As you can see there is a 100 pips open profit on Bag TV now.

  5. #35
    95036I have had limited experience with automated systems so much I've mixed results. I am reluctant to use a single under volatile market conditions, however it seems to work nicely during range bound markets.

  6. #36
    95036
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    From 1997 to 2000 the average yearly range was 1618 pips while from 2001 to 2006 it was 2312 pips or nearly 43 percent MORE volatility, and thus do you see ANY decrease in volatility , because I am sure as hell do not??
    On your sample you're right. Sir, I'm worried about where the market goes tomorrow. Take a look at this year and tell me it hasn't changed.

    I wrote The forex market has experienced a profound shift. In previous years, a trade imbalance or an interest rate change could move a currency price countless pips. Because of this, success in the forex market followed a traditional formula: Cut your losses short, but let your profits run.

    When was the last time you noticed that sort of move? Fundamental announcements on unemployment amounts, interest rate varies, CPI figures, inflation, GDP, etc use to cause huge swings on the market. Not so much now.

    Why? And even into the new century, the distinctive characteristic of the FX market has been its volatility--a volatility which has been a manifestation of major imbalances between domestic economies.

    When a country over-spent or over-borrowed, or whenever its external trade went wildly out of balance, its own interest rates were forced up and its own economic expansion slowed down. In the forex market, the country's currency also paid the price--usually by sudden and sometimes extreme devaluation. In a nutshell, economic imbalance generated currency volatility.

    Growing globalisation has changed all that. In the present world of tightening economic interdependency, it is in every country's interest to maintain economic and financial stability--even if it prices. And trade surplus nations (specifically China) now effectively underwrite trade deficit nations (specifically the US) in the name of stability and an orderly market. Interest rate differences are compacted. As yet another, currency volatility is minimised. It is only an opinion FXT. Make of it what you may and good of you to pull me up. Nice to see you. And let us see what happens. I have got my home on it.

  7. #37
    95036
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Volatily changes and has a direct effect on automated egies.
    I just showed that volatility hasn't been improved in the forex market, it's INCREASED during the last five years.

    If your EA continues to be making less cash during the past couple of years, then there is something wrong with your EA, it isn't strong enough, period, the market itself is fine.

  8. #38
    95036You didn't observe that. Comments?
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    On your sample you're right. Sir, I'm concerned with where the market goes not yesterday. Tell me and have a peek at this season it hasn't changed.

    I wrote that The forex market has undergone a profound shift. In past decades, a trade imbalance or an interest rate shift could move a currency price countless pips. For that reason, success in the forex market followed a traditional formula: Cut your losses short, but let your profits run.

    When was the last time you saw this type of movement? Fundamental announcements on unemployment figures, interest rate changes, CPI figures, inflation, GDP, etc use to cause swings on the market. Not so now.

    Why? Through the 1980s and 1990s, and even to the new century, the distinctive characteristic of the FX market was its volatility--a volatility which was a reflection of major imbalances between domestic economies.

    When a country over-spent or over-borrowed, or whenever its external trade went wildly out of balance, its interest rates were pressured upward and its economic expansion slowed down. In the forex market, the country's currency also paid the price--usually by sudden and extreme devaluation. In a nutshell, economic imbalance generated currency volatility.

    Increasing globalisation has changed that. In the present world of tightening economic interdependency, it is in each country's interest to maintain economic and financial stability. And trade surplus countries (specifically China) now efficiently underwrite trade deficit countries (specifically the US) in the name of stability and an orderly market. As one result, interest rate differences are compressed. As another, currency volatility is minimised. It's just an opinion FXT. Make of it what you will and great of you to pull me up. Nice to see you. And let us see what happens. I've got my house on it.

  9. #39
    95036
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    I only showed that volatility hasn't been improved in the FX market, it has INCREASED during the last 5 decades.
    Not in my circumstance.

    And the EA is new - but it is profitable over the last 6 weeks.

  10. #40
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Fundamental announcements on unemployment amounts, interest rate varies, CPI figures, inflation, GDP, etc utilize to cause massive swings in the market. Not so much today.
    Nothing wrong with this, it's about time the news traders started studying how to trade regular market conditions. But according to what you are saying those use to be normal market conditions.

    Votes continue to be split quite evenly... very odd indeed.

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