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It depends just like you use...

I use MACD Just like a oscillator.... Its great because gives the best to me.

Maybe I cant help you because you are searching for great estimator of the trend and that I favor the best...

During years, I have attempted to measure cycles like you, but finally with 2 moving averages and also a fantastic osciltor you can get very good results with no high level of maths and DSP.
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