High Risk/Low Reward Ratio Trading System

[Oxkinen]

It had been a month of 2, I'm trying to create a system, when you can make $10 to $3,000 in 60 consecutive win trades.
This feels gambling on a casino than trading on Forex, forex are more flexible in term of the amount of lot you entered along with adjusting the TP/SL increases the win rate as well.

Probably people will come condemn that 10:1 risk reward wouldn't work, attempt 1:3 risk reward instead and your account will burn before you create your first profit.

10:1 risk reward retains a 90.91%, break even opportunity, more like 1:1 includes a 50%, like a coin flip.
Taking the benefit of 90.91%, I want something similar to that

Win Streak - $10
1 - $11.00
2 - $12.10
3 - $13.31
4 - $14.64
5 - $16.11
6 - $17.72
7 - $19.49
8 - $21.44
9 - $23.58
10 - $25.94
11 - $28.53
12 - $31.38
13 - $34.52
14 - $37.97
15 - $41.77
16 - $45.95
17 - $50.54
18 - $55.60
19 - $61.16
20 - $67.27
21 - $74.00
22 - $81.40
23 - $89.54
24 - $98.50
25 - $108.35
26 - $119.18
27 - $131.10
28 - $144.21
29 - $158.63
30 - $174.49
31 - $191.94
32 - $211.14
33 - $232.25
34 - $255.48
35 - $281.02
36 - $309.13
37 - $340.04
38 - $374.04
39 - $411.45
40 - $452.59
41 - $497.85
42 - $547.64
43 - $602.40
44 - $662.64
45 - $728.90
46 - $801.80
47 - $881.97
48 - $970.17
49 - $1,067.19
50 - $1,173.91
51 - $1,291.30
52 - $1,420.43
53 - $1,562.47
54 - $1,718.72
55 - $1,890.59
56 - $2,079.65
57 - $2,287.62
58 - $2,516.38
59 - $2,768.01
60 - $3,044.82


it may be difficult, but after doing a little research with a random EA on MT4, bigger numbers of risk reward ratio do raise the percent small.
Say 10(TP)/100(SL) will be 89%, and 20(TP)/200(SL) will be 90. X percent predied on egy tester, why 89% not 90.91%? The three pip spread is the border.

Meanwhile, different currency pairs offer different interest, a few asking for curiosity also, so I will be trading with either pairs with reduced interest, or pairs paying you interest rates.

Appreciate any opinion.

I will start with $10, and upgrade sign based on MACD, Parabolic SAR, Line Break.
Let's test out, after all $10 values just 4 star dollar java ha.

[Oxkinen]

Normal day of successive losses in a week for 20/200 is 2 weeks,
Trending will bomb a series loss, but rarely happened continuously in week(s).
Studies in historical statistics shows, losses in 10/100 largely happened in a trending mode.
If sign continuously shows up in 12am to 12pm, and the currency in trending, I would not open more than 1 place for certain.
But in reverse, 10/100 may hit win series in a day, instead of losses a day.

Calculation in line with the win rate I am playing with, just increase minor a proportion of success rate, say, a break of 50/100 is 66.7%.
Mine is 68%, rather than 65%

And 11/99, is 90.6%, rather than 88%.

If reverse registered is the enemy of this egy... Charts shows trending happened no more than 3-4 days in average then stabilize, then safe to enter transactions.

If 20/200 = 95% win rate then, trading with interests, I feel it's the safest alternative for win streaks.

[VikMoko]

Research about championship trading Competitions and you Will find your answer; you can learn about how they aproach it (Besides all in in every trade, some Theories are still valid)

[Sudus]

12/4/18: EUR/USD Entry Point: 1.1869 TP: 1.1920 SL: 1.1815 NZD/USD EP: 0.6860 TP: 0.6874 SL: 0.6759

Fine try, what's the update about these two trades?

[amispaco383]

Research about championship trading competitions and you can find your answer; you could learn about how they aproach it (other than all in in every trade, some concepts are still legitimate)

Snowballing / pyramiding ?

Best regards

[amispaco383]

It was a month of 2, I'm attempting to develop a egy, when you're able to make $10 to $3,000 in 60 consecutive win trades. This feels gambling on a casino than trading Forex, forex are more flexible in term of the quantity of lot you entered along with adjusting the TP/SL will increase the win rate too. Probably folks will come condemn that 10:1 risk reward would not work, try 1:3 risk reward instead and your account will burn before you create your initial profit. 10:1 risk reward retains a 90.91 percent, break even opportunity, more like 1:1 has a 50%, like a coin...

Some enjoyable experiment or is that the tradig you think is profitable for you personally?

Best regards

[Oxkinen]

#1 Trade
EUR/USD Lost = -$10.00

#2 Trade
NZD/USD Won = $12.5

Re-enter AUD/USD
EP: 0.7601
TP: 0.7688
SL: 0.76538

Lost = -$12.5

For the AUD/USD I Have enter was based on the signal from EA, 83% win rate on 50 TP, 100 SL.
It prove to be a failure, I'm seeing historic data do not 100% reflects the transactions place in the future.
That I will need to re-calculate the win again.

[Oxkinen]

quote Some enjoyable experiment or is this the tradig you think is profitable for you ? Best regards

Probably the historical data frighten me you will find 1:3 Risk Reward reveals a win rate as low as 4%, that chance don't get the job done for sure, and I'm focusing trades that give 95% win rate and over. Just wish to experiment if my thinking is right.

[Oxkinen]

I am comparing the information in 2016 and 2017 based on EUR/USD, the Risk Reward remains 10:1.
The data is to focus how many successive loses based according signal equals or over 95%, on this EA.

0 Reduce = 1072
1 Reduce = 138
2 Reduce = 12
3 Reduce = 0
4 Reduce = 0

So, suppose if 1072 is 100%,
1 Consecutive Reduce will be 12.8 percent
2 Consecutive Reduce will be 1.12 percent
3 Consecutive Reduce will be 0 percent

Since this info is a contrast between 2016, it may or may not be accurate but giving a statistical amount of percent what to focus on.
This miracles me, if I should make trade after 2 successive lose.

Let's get the stats to get 90 ~ 100% win rate.
0 Reduce = 5232
1 Reduce = 1095
2 Reduce = 94
3 Reduce = 0
4 Reduce = 0

Again,
5232 = 100%
1095 = 21%
94 = 1.71 percent

For 85 percent on wards
0 Reduce = 9632
1 Reduce = 2706
2 Reduce = 320
3 Reduce = 11

Then,
9632 = 100%
2706 = 28.1 percent
320 = 3.32 percent
11 = 0.01 percent

80 percent Onwards
0 Reduce = 10916
1 Reduce = 3681
2 Reduce = 496
3 Reduce = 24

Subsequently,
10916 = 100%
3681 = 33.7 percent
496 = 4.5 percent
24 = 2.19 percent

It reveals here, higher win rate has a lower consecutive loses.
It's impossible to have 100% success rate, I have attempted enter a trade with 1 Reduce : 92 Grow, that's approximately 99% success rate, however you can't explain luck, I have lost the trade.

I'll be upgrading when I collect additional information.

[Oxkinen]

Consecutive Lose Data 2002-2017
1 - 7592 -- 100%
2 - 1011 -- 13.32%
3 - 127 -- 1.67%
4 - 5 32 -- 0.42%
5 - 4 -- 0.05%
6 - 1 -- 0.01%

Consecutive Win Data 2002-2017
1 - 1128 -- 100.00%
Two - 1070 -- 94.86%
3 - 946 -- 83.87%
4 - 797 -- 70.66%
5 - 697 -- 61.79%
6 - 679 -- 60.20%
7 - 513 -- 45.48%
8 - 520 -- 46.10%
9 - 458 -- 40.60%
10 - 368 -- 32.62%
11 - 323 -- 28.63%
12 - 291 -- 25.80%
13 - 262 -- 23.23%
14 - 218 -- 19.33%
15 - 171 -- 15.16%
16 - 177 -- 15.69%
17 - 127 -- 11.26%
18 - 119 -- 10.55%
19 - 93 -- 8.24%
20 - 96 -- 8.51%
21 - 75 -- 6.65%
22 - 67 -- 5.94%
23 - 59 -- 5.23%
24 - 60 -- 5.32%
25 - 50 -- 4.43%
26 - 38 -- 3.37%
27 - 35 -- 3.10%
28 - 41 -- 3.63%
29 - 12 -- 1.06%
30 - 312