Accurate above 80%?
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Thread: Accurate above 80%?

  1. #1
    Hello guys, I am mostly busy into my work and often get more time to trade, but I've willing to commit cash and I am also a competent trader, but unfortunately due to lack of time, I am never able to analysis things properly, so is there any platform or EA that you have used or using this have accuracy above 80%? Please suggest only one that you have personal experience with instead of any random ones.... Thanks.

  2. #2
    Of course there are. I have 2 EAs one that does consistently over 80% and one that does 100% never loses. The one that never loses only trades a couple of times annually, with a tight accept profit (not return and its long time to conduct a vps just for a few trades per year.) I would be 150 yrs old before I can compound it sufficient to make me rich. The 80% one has high equity drawdown. High risk. To use it all I would have to monitor it full time. So you see. It is not nearly accuracy. Its about the system, entrance and exit standards. Even if the coding is done really nicely. If the system isn't quite as fantastic as imagined, you lose.

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    is there some platform or EA that you have employed or using that have precision above 80%?
    What do you really mean with precision?

    Are you talking about win rates?

    There are both approaches and EA's that have win rates well above 80%. But what they all have in common is that sooner or later they will dismiss off your account since the occasional losses are huge and their risk-management is crazy.

    It's quite simple to come up with a system using a win rate well above 80%. All you'd need to do, as an example, is enter trades randomly with with a 2-pip target and a 50-pip stop-loss. The win rate could be well over 80% but obviously the system could drop a fortune in the long term. That is a gross example, but systems and EA's with win rates over 80% do subtler variations of the same thing.

    Beginners' trading publiions clarify - occasionally with examples - why it's much easier to make long-term profits out of a system using a 40% gain rate than it's in an 80% win rate. It's a bit more complied than you'd expect.

    It's very, very, very important to understand this clearly, and the causes of it, prior to beginning your search, otherwise you'll find it readily but turn out to have been looking for entirely the incorrect thing.

  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    This thread was moved to Rookie Talk because there is no such system.
    You are right! It's not an automatic method of cash!

  5. #5
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  6. #6
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  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    This thread was moved to Rookie Chat since there is no such system.
    What of course but why the hell should share with a parasite (forgive me the term )

  8. #8
    EA? I don't understand. What I think to be sure is there are traders using 80 % precision (i.e., win/loss ratio). So, the matter isn't systems (which translated into EAs), but users of any system.

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Of course there are. I've 2 EAs one that does consistently over 80% and one which does 100 percent never loses. The one that never loses just trades a couple of times a year, with a tight accept profit (not much return and its long time to conduct a vps only for a few trades a year.) I would be 150 yrs old before I could compound it enough to make me rich. That the 80% has high equity drawdown. High risk. To utilize it at all I would have to monitor it full time. So you visit. It is not just about accuracy. Its about the machine, entrance and exit criteria. Even when the coding...
    do you discuss these two, I´m eager to have a look at it

  10. #10
    Truth isn't that significant. You might have a system that's right 80% of the time and still lose money. For many systems accuracy is merely a function of how tight your stop loss and profit target are. So if you were to take a fundamental moving average cross over and make the stop loss 20X of the target profit you would get a system which has a very high accuracy but will eliminate money, because the losses will probably be much bigger than the wins. How much back-testing have you done to discover a egy which can work for you?

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